Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - North
Italy · 25
Mantova WHOME · -
45 : 522022.04.17 · 종료
Carugate WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME56.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+56.6%
VALUE EDGE+56.6%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADEA
Mantova WAnalysis MetricsCarugate W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-2.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.00
124.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
127.17
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
7.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement15.0 / 15
Prediction separation5.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mantova W
L · 78-63L · 62-76L · 43-63L · 62-54L · 52-79
Carugate W
W · 82-67L · 77-59L · 68-85L · 71-49L · 83-51
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.02.26 | Mantova W | 67 : 62 | Carugate W |
| 2022.11.20 | Carugate W | 50 : 66 | Mantova W |
| 2022.04.17 | Mantova W | 45 : 52 | Carugate W |
| 2022.01.09 | Carugate W | 53 : 65 | Mantova W |