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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 23
Alpo VillaFranca WHOME · -
64 : 692022.04.03 · 종료
Basket Crema WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME22.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY77.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 77.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +77.1%
VALUE EDGE+77.1%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEA
Alpo VillaFranca WAnalysis MetricsBasket Crema W
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 91.7%
-12.50 Point MarginHigher is better +21.50
144.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 135.17
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
22.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
77.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alpo VillaFranca W
W · 43-63W · 71-49W · 72-56W · 52-57W · 75-51
Basket Crema W
W · 44-75W · 78-60W · 52-79W · 85-48W · 53-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.04.03Alpo VillaFranca W64 : 69Basket Crema W
2021.12.13Basket Crema W105 : 65Alpo VillaFranca W