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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 19
Scrivia WHOME · -
53 : 432022.03.30 · 종료
Itas Alperia Bolzano WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME76.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 77.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +76.1%
VALUE EDGE+76.1%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEA
Scrivia WAnalysis MetricsItas Alperia Bolzano W
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-3.92 Point MarginHigher is better -2.08
128.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 123.58
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
76.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
23.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Scrivia W
L · 44-75L · 62-53W · 40-87W · 71-44L · 75-51
Itas Alperia Bolzano W
L · 52-60W · 61-57L · 50-35L · 60-63L · 85-48

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.02.12Itas Alperia Bolzano W47 : 67Scrivia W
2022.11.06Scrivia W76 : 56Itas Alperia Bolzano W
2022.03.30Scrivia W53 : 43Itas Alperia Bolzano W
2021.11.14Itas Alperia Bolzano W49 : 56Scrivia W