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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 15
Libertas Udine WHOME · -
83 : 512022.03.17 · 종료
Carugate WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 72.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +71.2%
VALUE EDGE+71.2%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADEA
Libertas Udine WAnalysis MetricsCarugate W
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+3.42 Point MarginHigher is better -4.00
119.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 127.17
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
71.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Libertas Udine W
W · 59-37W · 66-82W · 86-61W · 61-56W · 44-79
Carugate W
L · 55-77L · 54-72W · 59-72L · 81-59L · 53-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.02.19Carugate W66 : 63Libertas Udine W
2022.11.13Libertas Udine W81 : 47Carugate W
2022.03.17Libertas Udine W83 : 51Carugate W
2021.10.17Carugate W58 : 75Libertas Udine W