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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 20
Alpo VillaFranca WHOME · -
72 : 562022.03.13 · 종료
Valbruna Bolzano WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME79.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 77.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +79.5%
VALUE EDGE+79.5%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEA
Alpo VillaFranca WAnalysis MetricsValbruna Bolzano W
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%
-12.50 Point MarginHigher is better -26.25
144.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 122.25
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
79.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
20.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alpo VillaFranca W
W · 52-57W · 75-51L · 53-65L · 61-56W · 70-81
Valbruna Bolzano W
L · 53-72W · 63-58L · 78-76L · 72-58L · 51-66

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.02Alpo VillaFranca W91 : 59Valbruna Bolzano W
2022.12.18Valbruna Bolzano W58 : 78Alpo VillaFranca W
2022.03.13Alpo VillaFranca W72 : 56Valbruna Bolzano W
2021.11.21Valbruna Bolzano W56 : 62Alpo VillaFranca W