Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 16

Carugate WHOME · -

54 : 722022.03.06 · 종료

Itas Alperia Bolzano WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY45.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +54.3%

VALUE EDGE+54.3%

FAIR ODDS1.84

GRADEA

Carugate WAnalysis MetricsItas Alperia Bolzano W

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-4.00 Point MarginHigher is better -2.08

127.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 123.58

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%

6.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.7 / 15

Prediction separation3.7 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

54.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

45.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Carugate W

W · 59-72L · 81-59L · 53-84W · 70-74W · 69-67

Itas Alperia Bolzano W

W · 53-72L · 66-82L · 55-62L · 50-60L · 70-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.03.26	Carugate W	57 : 63	Itas Alperia Bolzano W
2022.12.11	Itas Alperia Bolzano W	63 : 69	Carugate W
2022.03.06	Carugate W	54 : 72	Itas Alperia Bolzano W
2021.10.24	Itas Alperia Bolzano W	64 : 73	Carugate W