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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 13
Valbruna Bolzano WHOME · -
53 : 722022.03.03 · 종료
Itas Alperia Bolzano WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 52.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +54.7%
VALUE EDGE+54.7%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
Valbruna Bolzano WAnalysis MetricsItas Alperia Bolzano W
0.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-26.25 Point MarginHigher is better -2.08
122.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 123.58
0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
4.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.1 / 15
Prediction separation4.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
54.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
45.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Valbruna Bolzano W
W · 63-58L · 78-76L · 72-58L · 51-66L · 84-60
Itas Alperia Bolzano W
L · 66-82L · 55-62L · 50-60L · 70-63W · 68-58

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.06Valbruna Bolzano W51 : 80Itas Alperia Bolzano W
2022.12.22Itas Alperia Bolzano W74 : 49Valbruna Bolzano W
2022.04.24Itas Alperia Bolzano W55 : 70Valbruna Bolzano W
2022.03.03Valbruna Bolzano W53 : 72Itas Alperia Bolzano W