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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 12
Itas Alperia Bolzano WHOME · -
66 : 822022.02.27 · 종료
Libertas Udine WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME20.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY79.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 77.9% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +79.7%
VALUE EDGE+79.7%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEA
Itas Alperia Bolzano WAnalysis MetricsLibertas Udine W
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-2.08 Point MarginHigher is better +3.42
123.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 119.42
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
20.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
79.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Itas Alperia Bolzano W
L · 55-62L · 50-60L · 70-63W · 68-58L · 75-56
Libertas Udine W
W · 86-61W · 61-56W · 44-79L · 53-79W · 53-59

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.01.29Itas Alperia Bolzano W70 : 53Libertas Udine W
2022.10.23Libertas Udine W57 : 43Itas Alperia Bolzano W
2022.04.17Libertas Udine W84 : 57Itas Alperia Bolzano W
2022.02.27Itas Alperia Bolzano W66 : 82Libertas Udine W