Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - North
Italy · 18
Carugate WHOME · -
53 : 842022.02.20 · 종료
Basket Crema WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME15.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY84.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 82.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+84.6%
VALUE EDGE+84.6%
FAIR ODDS1.18
GRADEA
Carugate WAnalysis MetricsBasket Crema W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
91.7%
-4.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+19.33
127.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
136.33
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
7.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Carugate W
W · 70-74W · 69-67L · 53-65W · 51-64W · 69-67
Basket Crema W
W · 82-52W · 74-58W · 49-76W · 91-37W · 84-60
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.02.20 | Carugate W | 53 : 84 | Basket Crema W |
| 2021.11.07 | Basket Crema W | 85 : 50 | Carugate W |