Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · Serie A2 Women - North - Final

Carugate WHOME · -

56 : 532023.05.08 · 종료

Trieste WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY42.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +57.5%

VALUE EDGE+57.5%

FAIR ODDS1.74

GRADEA

Carugate WAnalysis MetricsTrieste W

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-3.83 Point MarginHigher is better -8.92

128.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 125.08

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%

10.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 10.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.2 / 15

Prediction separation6.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

57.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

42.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Carugate W

L · 61-43L · 62-70L · 74-56W · 70-65L · 76-66

Trieste W

L · 64-59L · 43-47L · 72-57L · 68-74L · 81-55

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.12	Trieste W	55 : 70	Carugate W
2023.05.08	Carugate W	56 : 53	Trieste W
2023.03.19	Carugate W	70 : 74	Trieste W
2022.12.04	Trieste W	69 : 75	Carugate W