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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · Serie A2 Women - North - Quarter-finals
Sanga Milano WHOME · -
65 : 572023.04.30 · 종료
Mantova WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME77.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 77.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +77.6%
VALUE EDGE+77.6%
FAIR ODDS1.29
GRADEA
Sanga Milano WAnalysis MetricsMantova W
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+8.08 Point MarginHigher is better -3.25
127.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 123.92
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
77.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
22.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sanga Milano W
W · 53-77L · 59-70W · 58-63W · 68-58W · 57-77
Mantova W
L · 53-77W · 59-70W · 82-50W · 68-74L · 57-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.30Sanga Milano W65 : 57Mantova W
2023.04.27Mantova W53 : 77Sanga Milano W
2023.04.23Sanga Milano W59 : 70Mantova W
2023.04.02Mantova W57 : 77Sanga Milano W
2022.12.18Sanga Milano W59 : 55Mantova W
2022.02.27Sanga Milano W64 : 48Mantova W