Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - North
Italy · Serie A2 Women - North - Semi-finals
Ponzano WHOME · -
64 : 592023.04.27 · 종료
Trieste WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.8%
VALUE EDGE+61.8%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADEA
Ponzano WAnalysis MetricsTrieste W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-0.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.75
114.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
123.92
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
3.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation10.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ponzano W
W · 43-47L · 58-63L · 54-46W · 50-42L · 55-52
Trieste W
L · 43-47L · 72-57L · 68-74L · 81-55W · 55-52
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.27 | Ponzano W | 64 : 59 | Trieste W |
| 2023.04.24 | Trieste W | 43 : 47 | Ponzano W |
| 2023.03.26 | Trieste W | 55 : 52 | Ponzano W |
| 2022.12.11 | Ponzano W | 51 : 55 | Trieste W |