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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · Serie A2 Women - North - Quarter-finals
Alpo VillaFranca WHOME · -
63 : 682023.04.27 · 종료
Costa Masnaga WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME24.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY75.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 77.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +75.7%
VALUE EDGE+75.7%
FAIR ODDS1.32
GRADEA
Alpo VillaFranca WAnalysis MetricsCosta Masnaga W
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-12.50 Point MarginHigher is better -9.50
144.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 136.83
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
24.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
75.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alpo VillaFranca W
L · 78-64W · 71-67L · 70-65W · 91-59W · 55-63
Costa Masnaga W
W · 78-64W · 74-56W · 63-66W · 81-55W · 55-68

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.27Alpo VillaFranca W63 : 68Costa Masnaga W
2023.04.24Costa Masnaga W78 : 64Alpo VillaFranca W
2023.02.26Costa Masnaga W84 : 74Alpo VillaFranca W
2022.11.20Alpo VillaFranca W53 : 84Costa Masnaga W