Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - North
Italy · Serie A2 Women - North - Quarter-finals
Costa Masnaga WHOME · -
78 : 642023.04.24 · 종료
Alpo VillaFranca WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME70.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY29.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+70.3%
VALUE EDGE+70.3%
FAIR ODDS1.42
GRADEA
Costa Masnaga WAnalysis MetricsAlpo VillaFranca W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-10.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-12.50
135.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
144.83
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Costa Masnaga W
W · 74-56W · 63-66W · 81-55W · 55-68L · 67-70
Alpo VillaFranca W
W · 71-67L · 70-65W · 91-59W · 55-63W · 76-74
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.27 | Alpo VillaFranca W | 63 : 68 | Costa Masnaga W |
| 2023.04.24 | Costa Masnaga W | 78 : 64 | Alpo VillaFranca W |
| 2023.02.26 | Costa Masnaga W | 84 : 74 | Alpo VillaFranca W |
| 2022.11.20 | Alpo VillaFranca W | 53 : 84 | Costa Masnaga W |