Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - North
Italy · Serie A2 Women - North - Semi-finals
Trieste WHOME · -
43 : 472023.04.24 · 종료
Ponzano WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME53.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+53.1%
VALUE EDGE+53.1%
FAIR ODDS1.88
GRADEA
Trieste WAnalysis MetricsPonzano W
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-8.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.42
126.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
117.08
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
7.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.7 / 15
Prediction separation2.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Trieste W
L · 72-57L · 68-74L · 81-55W · 55-52W · 70-74
Ponzano W
L · 58-63L · 54-46W · 50-42L · 55-52W · 71-40
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.27 | Ponzano W | 64 : 59 | Trieste W |
| 2023.04.24 | Trieste W | 43 : 47 | Ponzano W |
| 2023.03.26 | Trieste W | 55 : 52 | Ponzano W |
| 2022.12.11 | Ponzano W | 51 : 55 | Trieste W |