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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · Serie A2 Women - North - Semi-finals
Carugate WHOME · -
62 : 702023.04.23 · 종료
Vicenza WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME60.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 57.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +60.5%
VALUE EDGE+60.5%
FAIR ODDS1.65
GRADEA
Carugate WAnalysis MetricsVicenza W
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-2.92 Point MarginHigher is better +3.42
126.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 121.58
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation9.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
60.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
39.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Carugate W
L · 74-56W · 70-65L · 76-66L · 57-63L · 70-74
Vicenza W
W · 68-65L · 82-70L · 58-53L · 55-68L · 66-46

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.27Vicenza W61 : 43Carugate W
2023.04.23Carugate W62 : 70Vicenza W
2023.01.15Vicenza W53 : 65Carugate W
2022.10.09Carugate W74 : 58Vicenza W
2022.04.10Carugate W82 : 67Vicenza W
2021.12.20Vicenza W51 : 64Carugate W