Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 25

Libertas Udine WHOME · -

54 : 462023.04.06 · 종료

Ponzano WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY21.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 77.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +78.5%

VALUE EDGE+78.5%

FAIR ODDS1.27

GRADEA

Libertas Udine WAnalysis MetricsPonzano W

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

+2.50 Point MarginHigher is better +0.58

121.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 116.25

83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

4.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement10.9 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

78.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

21.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Libertas Udine W

W · 58-53W · 61-73W · 64-57W · 52-61W · 59-52

Ponzano W

W · 50-42L · 55-52W · 71-40W · 61-54L · 57-51

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.06	Libertas Udine W	54 : 46	Ponzano W
2022.12.22	Ponzano W	55 : 70	Libertas Udine W
2022.05.08	Libertas Udine W	70 : 58	Ponzano W
2022.05.05	Ponzano W	60 : 71	Libertas Udine W
2022.02.13	Ponzano W	44 : 79	Libertas Udine W
2021.10.31	Libertas Udine W	53 : 49	Ponzano W