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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 25
Valbruna Bolzano WHOME · -
51 : 802023.04.06 · 종료
Itas Alperia Bolzano WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +60.7%
VALUE EDGE+60.7%
FAIR ODDS1.65
GRADEA
Valbruna Bolzano WAnalysis MetricsItas Alperia Bolzano W
0.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-24.33 Point MarginHigher is better -5.50
120.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 123.67
0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation9.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
39.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
60.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Valbruna Bolzano W
L · 91-59L · 45-84L · 71-40L · 35-84L · 59-52
Itas Alperia Bolzano W
L · 58-66W · 57-63L · 50-52L · 84-52L · 52-66

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.06Valbruna Bolzano W51 : 80Itas Alperia Bolzano W
2022.12.22Itas Alperia Bolzano W74 : 49Valbruna Bolzano W
2022.04.24Itas Alperia Bolzano W55 : 70Valbruna Bolzano W
2022.03.03Valbruna Bolzano W53 : 72Itas Alperia Bolzano W