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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 24
Itas Alperia Bolzano WHOME · -
58 : 662023.04.02 · 종료
Treviso WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +59.1%
VALUE EDGE+59.1%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADES
Itas Alperia Bolzano WAnalysis MetricsTreviso W
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-2.42 Point MarginHigher is better -11.83
124.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 128.50
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation7.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
59.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
40.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Itas Alperia Bolzano W
W · 57-63L · 50-52L · 84-52L · 52-66L · 75-55
Treviso W
L · 61-73L · 71-53L · 61-54L · 63-69L · 60-47

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.02Itas Alperia Bolzano W58 : 66Treviso W
2022.12.18Treviso W57 : 42Itas Alperia Bolzano W
2022.05.15Itas Alperia Bolzano W76 : 54Treviso W
2022.05.12Treviso W70 : 58Itas Alperia Bolzano W
2022.05.08Itas Alperia Bolzano W77 : 43Treviso W
2022.03.24Itas Alperia Bolzano W61 : 57Treviso W
2021.10.17Treviso W51 : 68Itas Alperia Bolzano W