Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - North
Italy · 23
Carugate WHOME · -
57 : 632023.03.26 · 종료
Itas Alperia Bolzano WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME60.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+60.4%
VALUE EDGE+60.4%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEA
Carugate WAnalysis MetricsItas Alperia Bolzano W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-3.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.58
127.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
124.58
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation8.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Carugate W
L · 70-74L · 67-62W · 66-63L · 66-61W · 63-58
Itas Alperia Bolzano W
L · 50-52L · 84-52L · 52-66L · 75-55L · 47-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.26 | Carugate W | 57 : 63 | Itas Alperia Bolzano W |
| 2022.12.11 | Itas Alperia Bolzano W | 63 : 69 | Carugate W |
| 2022.03.06 | Carugate W | 54 : 72 | Itas Alperia Bolzano W |
| 2021.10.24 | Itas Alperia Bolzano W | 64 : 73 | Carugate W |