Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 22

Carugate WHOME · -

70 : 742023.03.19 · 종료

Trieste WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY48.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +51.5%

VALUE EDGE+51.5%

FAIR ODDS1.94

GRADEA

Carugate WAnalysis MetricsTrieste W

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-3.25 Point MarginHigher is better -9.50

125.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 122.17

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement11.1 / 15

Prediction separation1.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

51.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

48.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Carugate W

L · 67-62W · 66-63L · 66-61W · 63-58L · 72-51

Trieste W

L · 52-61L · 36-72W · 61-66L · 77-80L · 64-62

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.12	Trieste W	55 : 70	Carugate W
2023.05.08	Carugate W	56 : 53	Trieste W
2023.03.19	Carugate W	70 : 74	Trieste W
2022.12.04	Trieste W	69 : 75	Carugate W