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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 21
Trieste WHOME · -
52 : 612023.03.12 · 종료
Libertas Udine WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME29.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY70.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 73.1% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +70.5%
VALUE EDGE+70.5%
FAIR ODDS1.42
GRADEA
Trieste WAnalysis MetricsLibertas Udine W
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-8.42 Point MarginHigher is better +2.42
124.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 120.75
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
29.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
70.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Trieste W
L · 36-72W · 61-66L · 77-80L · 64-62L · 76-53
Libertas Udine W
W · 59-52L · 66-63L · 59-69W · 67-77L · 70-53

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.12Trieste W52 : 61Libertas Udine W
2022.11.27Libertas Udine W79 : 57Trieste W