Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - North
Italy · 19
Alpo VillaFranca WHOME · -
75 : 552023.02.19 · 종료
Itas Alperia Bolzano WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME52.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+52.1%
VALUE EDGE+52.1%
FAIR ODDS1.92
GRADEA
Alpo VillaFranca WAnalysis MetricsItas Alperia Bolzano W
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-12.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.42
144.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
123.75
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
7.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.5 / 15
Prediction separation1.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alpo VillaFranca W
W · 77-80L · 67-77W · 70-75L · 63-80W · 52-67
Itas Alperia Bolzano W
L · 47-67L · 81-56W · 70-53W · 74-45L · 72-60
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.02.19 | Alpo VillaFranca W | 75 : 55 | Itas Alperia Bolzano W |
| 2022.11.13 | Itas Alperia Bolzano W | 66 : 65 | Alpo VillaFranca W |
| 2022.04.10 | Itas Alperia Bolzano W | 53 : 66 | Alpo VillaFranca W |
| 2021.12.19 | Alpo VillaFranca W | 70 : 63 | Itas Alperia Bolzano W |