Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 18

Ponzano WHOME · -

66 : 612023.02.12 · 종료

Carugate WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY48.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +51.2%

VALUE EDGE+51.2%

FAIR ODDS1.95

GRADEA

Ponzano WAnalysis MetricsCarugate W

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-0.50 Point MarginHigher is better -3.17

114.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 126.67

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.0 / 15

Prediction separation1.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

51.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

48.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Ponzano W

L · 63-43L · 70-75L · 82-68W · 72-60L · 76-58

Carugate W

W · 63-58L · 72-51W · 61-54W · 53-65L · 67-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.02.12	Ponzano W	66 : 61	Carugate W
2022.11.06	Carugate W	69 : 68	Ponzano W
2022.01.23	Carugate W	69 : 67	Ponzano W
2021.10.10	Ponzano W	73 : 61	Carugate W