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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 16
Itas Alperia Bolzano WHOME · -
70 : 532023.01.29 · 종료
Libertas Udine WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME35.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY64.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +64.6%
VALUE EDGE+64.6%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEA
Itas Alperia Bolzano WAnalysis MetricsLibertas Udine W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-4.50 Point MarginHigher is better +3.42
124.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 119.42
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation12.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
35.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
64.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Itas Alperia Bolzano W
W · 74-45L · 72-60L · 71-66W · 74-49L · 57-42
Libertas Udine W
W · 68-60L · 69-62W · 59-51W · 55-70W · 48-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.01.29Itas Alperia Bolzano W70 : 53Libertas Udine W
2022.10.23Libertas Udine W57 : 43Itas Alperia Bolzano W
2022.04.17Libertas Udine W84 : 57Itas Alperia Bolzano W
2022.02.27Itas Alperia Bolzano W66 : 82Libertas Udine W