Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 16

Ponzano WHOME · -

70 : 752023.01.29 · 종료

Alpo VillaFranca WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME32.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY67.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 67.8% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +67.8%

VALUE EDGE+67.8%

FAIR ODDS1.47

GRADEA

Ponzano WAnalysis MetricsAlpo VillaFranca W

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%

+0.33 Point MarginHigher is better -12.50

112.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 144.83

83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement3.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

32.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

67.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Ponzano W

L · 82-68W · 72-60L · 76-58L · 55-70L · 69-48

Alpo VillaFranca W

L · 63-80W · 52-67L · 85-77L · 70-77W · 58-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.01.29	Ponzano W	70 : 75	Alpo VillaFranca W
2022.10.23	Alpo VillaFranca W	67 : 59	Ponzano W
2022.02.06	Alpo VillaFranca W	81 : 45	Ponzano W
2021.10.24	Ponzano W	48 : 57	Alpo VillaFranca W