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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 15
Costa Masnaga WHOME · -
82 : 682023.01.23 · 종료
Ponzano WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME79.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 77.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +79.8%
VALUE EDGE+79.8%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEB
Costa Masnaga WAnalysis MetricsPonzano W
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-9.33 Point MarginHigher is better +1.08
137.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 112.08
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
7.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
79.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
20.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Costa Masnaga W
W · 56-57W · 67-72W · 67-52W · 66-76W · 67-63
Ponzano W
W · 72-60L · 76-58L · 55-70L · 69-48L · 51-55

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.01.23Costa Masnaga W82 : 68Ponzano W
2022.10.16Ponzano W48 : 84Costa Masnaga W