Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 15

Itas Alperia Bolzano WHOME · -

74 : 452023.01.22 · 종료

Mantova WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME49.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY50.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +50.2%

VALUE EDGE+50.2%

FAIR ODDS1.99

GRADEA

Itas Alperia Bolzano WAnalysis MetricsMantova W

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-5.50 Point MarginHigher is better -2.50

124.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 124.17

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%

7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.2 / 15

Prediction separation0.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

49.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

50.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Itas Alperia Bolzano W

L · 72-60L · 71-66W · 74-49L · 57-42L · 63-69

Mantova W

L · 52-67L · 51-45W · 67-60L · 59-55W · 66-48

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.01.22	Itas Alperia Bolzano W	74 : 45	Mantova W
2022.10.16	Mantova W	61 : 67	Itas Alperia Bolzano W
2022.02.13	Itas Alperia Bolzano W	50 : 60	Mantova W
2021.10.31	Mantova W	56 : 42	Itas Alperia Bolzano W