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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 13
Sanga Milano WHOME · -
76 : 582023.01.08 · 종료
Ponzano WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME80.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 84.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +80.1%
VALUE EDGE+80.1%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEA
Sanga Milano WAnalysis MetricsPonzano W
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+8.50 Point MarginHigher is better +1.08
126.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 112.08
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
80.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
19.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sanga Milano W
L · 63-53W · 59-55W · 59-71W · 67-58W · 61-68
Ponzano W
L · 55-70L · 69-48L · 51-55L · 73-62L · 39-65

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.16Ponzano W58 : 63Sanga Milano W
2023.01.08Sanga Milano W76 : 58Ponzano W
2022.04.17Sanga Milano W76 : 44Ponzano W
2022.03.07Ponzano W48 : 71Sanga Milano W