Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - North
Italy · 12
Itas Alperia Bolzano WHOME · -
74 : 492022.12.22 · 종료
Valbruna Bolzano WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME56.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+56.5%
VALUE EDGE+56.5%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADEA
Itas Alperia Bolzano WAnalysis MetricsValbruna Bolzano W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
0.0%
-2.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-26.25
123.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
122.25
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
4.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.2 / 15
Prediction separation5.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Itas Alperia Bolzano W
L · 57-42L · 63-69W · 55-62L · 61-68W · 41-57
Valbruna Bolzano W
L · 58-78L · 58-44L · 78-57W · 73-62L · 57-66
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.06 | Valbruna Bolzano W | 51 : 80 | Itas Alperia Bolzano W |
| 2022.12.22 | Itas Alperia Bolzano W | 74 : 49 | Valbruna Bolzano W |
| 2022.04.24 | Itas Alperia Bolzano W | 55 : 70 | Valbruna Bolzano W |
| 2022.03.03 | Valbruna Bolzano W | 53 : 72 | Itas Alperia Bolzano W |