Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 12

Alpo VillaFranca WHOME · -

70 : 772022.12.22 · 종료

Carugate WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY38.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +61.9%

VALUE EDGE+61.9%

FAIR ODDS1.62

GRADEA

Alpo VillaFranca WAnalysis MetricsCarugate W

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-12.50 Point MarginHigher is better -4.00

144.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 127.17

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

4.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.8 / 15

Prediction separation10.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

61.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

38.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Alpo VillaFranca W

W · 58-78L · 59-71W · 76-81L · 61-52L · 53-84

Carugate W

L · 66-87W · 63-69W · 69-75L · 49-61L · 50-66

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.05	Carugate W	70 : 65	Alpo VillaFranca W
2022.12.22	Alpo VillaFranca W	70 : 77	Carugate W
2022.03.20	Alpo VillaFranca W	71 : 49	Carugate W
2021.11.28	Carugate W	52 : 70	Alpo VillaFranca W