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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 12
Ponzano WHOME · -
55 : 702022.12.22 · 종료
Libertas Udine WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME17.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY83.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK AWAY 84.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +83.0%
VALUE EDGE+83.0%
FAIR ODDS1.21
GRADEB
Ponzano WAnalysis MetricsLibertas Udine W
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+1.08 Point MarginHigher is better +3.42
112.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 119.42
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
3.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
17.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
83.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ponzano W
L · 69-48L · 51-55L · 73-62L · 39-65L · 61-59
Libertas Udine W
W · 48-71W · 71-52W · 44-49W · 79-57W · 57-66

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.06Libertas Udine W54 : 46Ponzano W
2022.12.22Ponzano W55 : 70Libertas Udine W
2022.05.08Libertas Udine W70 : 58Ponzano W
2022.05.05Ponzano W60 : 71Libertas Udine W
2022.02.13Ponzano W44 : 79Libertas Udine W
2021.10.31Libertas Udine W53 : 49Ponzano W