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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 11
Trieste WHOME · -
66 : 762022.12.18 · 종료
Costa Masnaga WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME25.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY74.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 73.1% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +74.9%
VALUE EDGE+74.9%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADEB
Trieste WAnalysis MetricsCosta Masnaga W
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-8.92 Point MarginHigher is better -9.33
121.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 137.00
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

64/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
25.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
74.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Trieste W
W · 51-55L · 69-75L · 79-57L · 68-62W · 65-52
Costa Masnaga W
W · 67-63W · 78-57L · 67-58L · 61-68W · 53-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.03Costa Masnaga W81 : 55Trieste W
2022.12.18Trieste W66 : 76Costa Masnaga W