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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 11
Sanga Milano WHOME · -
59 : 552022.12.18 · 종료
Mantova WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 73.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +71.4%
VALUE EDGE+71.4%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADES
Sanga Milano WAnalysis MetricsMantova W
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+8.50 Point MarginHigher is better -2.50
126.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 124.17
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
71.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sanga Milano W
W · 59-71W · 67-58W · 61-68W · 68-62W · 57-60
Mantova W
W · 66-48L · 44-49W · 39-65W · 50-66L · 42-65

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.30Sanga Milano W65 : 57Mantova W
2023.04.27Mantova W53 : 77Sanga Milano W
2023.04.23Sanga Milano W59 : 70Mantova W
2023.04.02Mantova W57 : 77Sanga Milano W
2022.12.18Sanga Milano W59 : 55Mantova W
2022.02.27Sanga Milano W64 : 48Mantova W