Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - North
Italy · 10
Ponzano WHOME · -
51 : 552022.12.11 · 종료
Trieste WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME29.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY70.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+70.2%
VALUE EDGE+70.2%
FAIR ODDS1.42
GRADEA
Ponzano WAnalysis MetricsTrieste W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+1.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.92
112.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
121.08
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ponzano W
L · 73-62L · 39-65L · 61-59W · 57-45L · 69-68
Trieste W
L · 69-75L · 79-57L · 68-62W · 65-52W · 62-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.27 | Ponzano W | 64 : 59 | Trieste W |
| 2023.04.24 | Trieste W | 43 : 47 | Ponzano W |
| 2023.03.26 | Trieste W | 55 : 52 | Ponzano W |
| 2022.12.11 | Ponzano W | 51 : 55 | Trieste W |