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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 8
Costa Masnaga WHOME · -
78 : 572022.12.08 · 종료
Valbruna Bolzano WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +59.2%
VALUE EDGE+59.2%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADEA
Costa Masnaga WAnalysis MetricsValbruna Bolzano W
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%
-9.33 Point MarginHigher is better -26.25
137.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 122.25
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
4.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation7.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
59.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
40.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Costa Masnaga W
L · 67-58L · 61-68W · 53-84W · 88-74L · 64-74
Valbruna Bolzano W
W · 73-62L · 57-66L · 65-52L · 44-65L · 76-56

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.12Valbruna Bolzano W35 : 84Costa Masnaga W
2022.12.08Costa Masnaga W78 : 57Valbruna Bolzano W