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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 9
Mantova WHOME · -
44 : 492022.12.04 · 종료
Libertas Udine WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME28.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY71.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 73.1% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +71.3%
VALUE EDGE+71.3%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEA
Mantova WAnalysis MetricsLibertas Udine W
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-2.50 Point MarginHigher is better +3.42
124.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 119.42
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
28.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
71.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mantova W
W · 39-65W · 50-66L · 42-65W · 53-56W · 73-57
Libertas Udine W
W · 79-57W · 57-66W · 81-47W · 64-74W · 65-42

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.19Libertas Udine W64 : 57Mantova W
2022.12.04Mantova W44 : 49Libertas Udine W
2022.02.07Libertas Udine W53 : 79Mantova W
2021.10.24Mantova W57 : 65Libertas Udine W