Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - North
Italy · 9
Trieste WHOME · -
69 : 752022.12.04 · 종료
Carugate WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME53.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+53.8%
VALUE EDGE+53.8%
FAIR ODDS1.86
GRADEA
Trieste WAnalysis MetricsCarugate W
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-8.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.00
121.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
127.17
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.1 / 15
Prediction separation3.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Trieste W
L · 79-57L · 68-62W · 65-52W · 62-75L · 71-80
Carugate W
L · 49-61L · 50-66L · 81-47W · 69-68L · 78-58
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.12 | Trieste W | 55 : 70 | Carugate W |
| 2023.05.08 | Carugate W | 56 : 53 | Trieste W |
| 2023.03.19 | Carugate W | 70 : 74 | Trieste W |
| 2022.12.04 | Trieste W | 69 : 75 | Carugate W |