Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - North
Italy · 8
Carugate WHOME · -
49 : 612022.11.27 · 종료
Treviso WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME38.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+61.9%
VALUE EDGE+61.9%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADEA
Carugate WAnalysis MetricsTreviso W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-4.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.25
127.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
128.42
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.9 / 15
Prediction separation10.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Carugate W
L · 50-66L · 81-47W · 69-68L · 78-58L · 55-86
Treviso W
W · 61-59L · 88-74L · 53-56W · 71-80L · 51-57
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.11.27 | Carugate W | 49 : 61 | Treviso W |
| 2022.04.03 | Treviso W | 77 : 59 | Carugate W |
| 2021.12.09 | Carugate W | 69 : 67 | Treviso W |