Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - North
Italy · 8
Ponzano WHOME · -
39 : 652022.11.27 · 종료
Mantova WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+59.6%
VALUE EDGE+59.6%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEA
Ponzano WAnalysis MetricsMantova W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+1.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.50
112.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
124.17
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.3 / 15
Prediction separation8.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ponzano W
L · 61-59W · 57-45L · 69-68L · 45-55L · 67-59
Mantova W
W · 50-66L · 42-65W · 53-56W · 73-57L · 88-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.11.27 | Ponzano W | 39 : 65 | Mantova W |
| 2022.04.10 | Ponzano W | 78 : 63 | Mantova W |
| 2021.12.19 | Mantova W | 62 : 65 | Ponzano W |