Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - North
Italy · 6
Itas Alperia Bolzano WHOME · -
66 : 652022.11.13 · 종료
Alpo VillaFranca WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.4%
VALUE EDGE+56.4%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADEA
Itas Alperia Bolzano WAnalysis MetricsAlpo VillaFranca W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-2.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-12.50
123.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
144.83
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.1 / 15
Prediction separation5.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Itas Alperia Bolzano W
L · 76-56L · 61-72L · 57-43W · 61-67L · 49-54
Alpo VillaFranca W
L · 62-75L · 65-42W · 67-59L · 88-62L · 43-47
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.02.19 | Alpo VillaFranca W | 75 : 55 | Itas Alperia Bolzano W |
| 2022.11.13 | Itas Alperia Bolzano W | 66 : 65 | Alpo VillaFranca W |
| 2022.04.10 | Itas Alperia Bolzano W | 53 : 66 | Alpo VillaFranca W |
| 2021.12.19 | Alpo VillaFranca W | 70 : 63 | Itas Alperia Bolzano W |