Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 5

Carugate WHOME · -

69 : 682022.11.06 · 종료

Ponzano WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME45.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY55.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +55.0%

VALUE EDGE+55.0%

FAIR ODDS1.82

GRADEA

Carugate WAnalysis MetricsPonzano W

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-4.00 Point MarginHigher is better +1.08

127.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 112.08

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

6.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.4 / 15

Prediction separation4.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

45.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

55.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Carugate W

L · 78-58L · 55-86L · 77-55W · 74-58L · 71-75

Ponzano W

L · 45-55L · 67-59L · 48-84W · 49-54L · 70-58

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.02.12	Ponzano W	66 : 61	Carugate W
2022.11.06	Carugate W	69 : 68	Ponzano W
2022.01.23	Carugate W	69 : 67	Ponzano W
2021.10.10	Ponzano W	73 : 61	Carugate W