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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 4
Broni WHOME · -
78 : 582022.10.31 · 종료
Carugate WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 67.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +68.7%
VALUE EDGE+68.7%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEA
Broni WAnalysis MetricsCarugate W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-4.58 Point MarginHigher is better -4.00
133.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 127.17
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
68.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
31.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Broni W
W · 51-57L · 68-69W · 49-75
Carugate W
L · 55-86L · 77-55W · 74-58L · 71-75W · 45-52

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.02.05Carugate W63 : 58Broni W
2022.10.31Broni W78 : 58Carugate W