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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 4
Itas Alperia Bolzano WHOME · -
61 : 722022.10.30 · 종료
Costa Masnaga WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME43.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 54.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +56.6%
VALUE EDGE+56.6%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADEB
Itas Alperia Bolzano WAnalysis MetricsCosta Masnaga W
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-2.08 Point MarginHigher is better -9.33
123.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 137.00
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.6 / 15
Prediction separation5.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
43.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
56.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Itas Alperia Bolzano W
L · 57-43W · 61-67L · 49-54W · 76-54L · 70-58
Costa Masnaga W
W · 88-82W · 48-84L · 84-53

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.02.06Costa Masnaga W81 : 56Itas Alperia Bolzano W
2022.10.30Itas Alperia Bolzano W61 : 72Costa Masnaga W