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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 2
Ponzano WHOME · -
48 : 842022.10.16 · 종료
Costa Masnaga WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 54.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +57.2%
VALUE EDGE+57.2%
FAIR ODDS1.75
GRADEA
Ponzano WAnalysis MetricsCosta Masnaga W
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+1.08 Point MarginHigher is better -9.33
112.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 137.00
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation6.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
57.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
42.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ponzano W
W · 49-54L · 70-58L · 60-71L · 73-79L · 76-44
Costa Masnaga W
L · 84-53

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.01.23Costa Masnaga W82 : 68Ponzano W
2022.10.16Ponzano W48 : 84Costa Masnaga W