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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 2
Valbruna Bolzano WHOME · -
77 : 552022.10.16 · 종료
Carugate WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 54.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +56.6%
VALUE EDGE+56.6%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADEA
Valbruna Bolzano WAnalysis MetricsCarugate W
0.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-26.25 Point MarginHigher is better -4.00
122.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 127.17
0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.8 / 15
Prediction separation5.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
56.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
43.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Valbruna Bolzano W
L · 66-65W · 62-52L · 71-58W · 70-61W · 55-70
Carugate W
W · 74-58L · 71-75W · 45-52W · 82-67L · 77-59

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.01.22Carugate W61 : 54Valbruna Bolzano W
2022.10.16Valbruna Bolzano W77 : 55Carugate W
2022.03.27Carugate W68 : 85Valbruna Bolzano W
2021.12.05Valbruna Bolzano W51 : 66Carugate W