Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 1

Itas Alperia Bolzano WHOME · -

49 : 542022.10.09 · 종료

Ponzano WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY38.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 57.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +62.0%

VALUE EDGE+62.0%

FAIR ODDS1.61

GRADEA

Itas Alperia Bolzano WAnalysis MetricsPonzano W

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-2.08 Point MarginHigher is better +1.08

123.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 112.08

42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.8 / 15

Prediction separation10.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

62.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

38.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Itas Alperia Bolzano W

W · 76-54L · 70-58W · 77-43L · 55-70L · 84-57

Ponzano W

L · 70-58L · 60-71L · 73-79L · 76-44W · 78-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.01.15	Ponzano W	72 : 60	Itas Alperia Bolzano W
2022.10.09	Itas Alperia Bolzano W	49 : 54	Ponzano W
2022.02.20	Itas Alperia Bolzano W	55 : 62	Ponzano W
2021.11.07	Ponzano W	64 : 47	Itas Alperia Bolzano W