Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A1 W
Italy · Serie A1 Women - Quarter-finals
Umbertide WHOME · -
67 : 612015.04.09 · 종료
Venezia WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME38.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+61.4%
VALUE EDGE+61.4%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADES
Umbertide WAnalysis MetricsVenezia W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-4.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+17.58
127.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
144.75
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation9.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Umbertide W
L · 87-51W · 41-69W · 75-58L · 67-30W · 80-69
Venezia W
W · 87-51W · 51-62W · 89-74W · 49-57W · 52-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.04.12 | Venezia W | 60 : 40 | Umbertide W |
| 2015.04.09 | Umbertide W | 67 : 61 | Venezia W |
| 2015.04.04 | Venezia W | 87 : 51 | Umbertide W |
| 2015.01.19 | Venezia W | 75 : 62 | Umbertide W |
| 2014.10.20 | Umbertide W | 65 : 71 | Venezia W |
| 2011.04.07 | Venezia W | 58 : 71 | Umbertide W |
| 2011.04.04 | Umbertide W | 60 : 53 | Venezia W |
| 2011.01.17 | Venezia W | 54 : 65 | Umbertide W |
| 2010.10.25 | Umbertide W | 70 : 58 | Venezia W |