Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Serie A1 W Italy · Serie A1 Women - Quarter-finals

Lucca WHOME · -

45 : 692015.04.09 · 종료

Ragusa WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME29.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY70.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 73.1% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +70.3%

VALUE EDGE+70.3%

FAIR ODDS1.42

GRADEA

Lucca WAnalysis MetricsRagusa W

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

+0.25 Point MarginHigher is better -3.92

130.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 126.58

80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.8 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

29.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

70.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Lucca W

L · 54-46L · 51-62L · 75-58W · 75-55L · 66-61

Ragusa W

W · 54-46W · 78-51L · 49-57W · 58-62W · 47-39

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2022.03.25	Ragusa W	67 : 71	Lucca W
2015.04.09	Lucca W	45 : 69	Ragusa W
2015.04.04	Ragusa W	54 : 46	Lucca W
2015.02.02	Ragusa W	67 : 51	Lucca W
2014.10.27	Lucca W	45 : 72	Ragusa W