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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A1 W Italy · Serie A1 Women - Quarter-finals
Ragusa WHOME · -
54 : 462015.04.04 · 종료
Lucca WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME74.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 73.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +74.0%
VALUE EDGE+74.0%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADEB
Ragusa WAnalysis MetricsLucca W
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-2.58 Point MarginHigher is better -1.08
127.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 132.08
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
6.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
74.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
26.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ragusa W
W · 78-51L · 49-57W · 58-62W · 47-39L · 58-51
Lucca W
L · 51-62L · 75-58W · 75-55L · 66-61W · 79-58

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.03.25Ragusa W67 : 71Lucca W
2015.04.09Lucca W45 : 69Ragusa W
2015.04.04Ragusa W54 : 46Lucca W
2015.02.02Ragusa W67 : 51Lucca W
2014.10.27Lucca W45 : 72Ragusa W